Research on a stock-matching trading strategy based on bi-objective optimization

In recent years, with strict domestic financial supervision and other policy-oriented factors, some products are becoming increasingly restricted, including nonstandard products, bank-guaranteed wealth management products, and other products that can provide investors with a more stable income. Pairs trading, a type of stable strategy that has proved efficient in many financial markets worldwide, has become the focus of investors. Based on the traditional Gatev–Goetzmann–Rouwenhorst (GGR, Gatev et al., 2006) strategy, this paper proposes a stock-matching strategy based on bi-objective quadratic programming with quadratic constraints (BQQ) model. Under the condition of ensuring a long-term equilibrium between pairedstock prices, the volatility of stock spreads is increased as much as possible, improving the profitability of the strategy. To verify the effectiveness of the strategy, we use the natural logs of the daily stock market indices in Shanghai. The GGR model and the BQQ model proposed in this paper are back-tested and compared. The results show that the BQQ model can achieve a higher rate of returns.     

Trading timing and the returns to trend-following

We document a negative impact of realistic trading timing on trend-following profits, across an international sample of equity indexes and stocks. The discount effect is substantial but reduces as trend signals become less accurate. The size of this trading timing bias is largely driven by the volatility of buy-and-hold returns and that of trend signals.     

东盟对外贸易发展的影响因素及潜力--基于引力模型的实证研究

文章基于东盟视角,运用2000—2011年东盟主要贸易伙伴的面板数据进行分析,构建贸易引力模型对双边进出口贸易流量的影响因素进行分析,估算出东盟主要贸易伙伴的贸易潜力。结果表明,贸易双方的国内生产总值对双边进出口贸易流量有正向影响,贸易双方的人口和之间的距离对双边进出口贸易流量有负向影响。通过估算贸易潜力得出东盟最具贸易潜力的三个国家分别是俄罗斯、澳大利亚和日本,中国与东盟处于潜力开拓型关系,与俄澳日三国相比尚有差距,建议未来的研究内容可以集中分析某一特定产业或某一特定产品的贸易效应,从而改善我国出口结构,提升我国的贸易竞争力。     

价值溢价与一月效应——来自上海A股市场的经验证据

以2000年1月至2011年12月沪市A股上市公司为样本,按Size-B/M方法构建6投资组合,考察我国股市的价值溢价是否存在一月效应现象,检验大盘股、小盘股价值溢价在1月和非1月是否不同,并采用CAPM模型检验价值溢价的一月效应。实证结果发现:1)采用账面市值比B/M划分成长-价值型股票组合,大盘股和小盘股股票都存在价值溢价;2)大盘股和小盘股的价值溢价在1月与非1月存在不同的模式——大盘股在1月存在显著的价值溢价,而小盘股的价值溢价主要在非1月的月份出现;3)CAPM模型能够解释我国股市从2007年1月至2011年12月期间的价值溢价。相对小盘股,大盘股的价值溢价的一月效应更为显著。     

The Ethics of Insider Trading Revisited

Following Manne (1966, Insider Trading and the Stock Market (New York, Free Press)) we introduce a distinction between insider trading and market manipulation on the one hand and corporate insiders versus misappropriators on the other hand. This gives rise to four types of alleged inside transactions. We argue that the literature on insider trading has often targeted inside transactions type II, III and IV but that these arguments do not necessarily hold for type I transactions. We look for consequentionalist as well as non-consequentionalist arguments against type I transactions and demonstrate that these are hard to find. Throughout the article we refer extensively to the economic literature on insider trading in order to overcome a relative divide between the economic, legal, and philosophical discussion on insider trading.

信道化接收机中微波放大技术的研究

介绍了信道化接收机实现的方案和工作原理，并对其接收系统中重要部件——宽频带放大器做了重点介绍，针对低噪声和宽频带2个主要指标，采用平衡式放大器进行设计，最后给出了仿真结果。     

基于Gibbs采样的MIMO信号检测改进算法

针对传统Gibbs采样算法的“失控问题”,提出了一种改进算法,在Gibbs迭代采样过程中加入对噪声方差的估计,消除了失控问题。设计了信号检测流程,将最大似然（ML）检测的搜索过程嵌入Gibbs迭代采样过程,减少了最大似然检测的计算步骤。仿真结果表明,所提算法能估计噪声方差,具有接近最大似然检测的性能。     

单光子卫星量子通信噪声和干扰分析

卫星量子通信是建立全球量子通信网络的最佳选择之一。针对采用偏振编码的卫星量子通信中的偏振保持问题,研究了大气散射和卫星与地面站间相对运动等因素对量子偏振态相位和对准的影响以及相位延迟和对准误差对系统量子误码率的影响,分析了背景噪声和系统硬件噪声对通信产生的影响以及单光子通信过程中可能受到的光子分离攻击干扰,为量子信号认知设计提供借鉴意义。     

不同调制方式下高斯信道容量的计算

计算不同调制方式下的信道容量对实际通信系统的信道编译码设计具有重要的理论意义。首先从Shannon信息论出发,介绍了平稳无记忆连续信道与加性白高斯噪声信道容量的定义。接着利用互信息与微分熵的相互关系,推导了几种常用的不同调制方式下高斯信道的容量,并给出了相应的信道容量闭合计算表达式。通过将电力卫星通信信道模拟为高斯信道,对采用无速率信道编码联合不同调制方式的卫星通信进行了数值仿真。仿真结果显示,通过推导得到的闭合表达式计算信道容量,能对实际卫星通信的编码速率、译码启动条件的确定起到很好的理论指导作用。     

宽带随机混沌雷达高速目标速度估计与成像

随机混沌具有真随机性、对初值敏感、易于产生和控制等特点,频率步进信号易于工程实现和处理,结合两者的优势,提出了一种载频随机步进的随机混沌信号(RSCFSCS)模型,用于高速目标的速度估计和距离维高分辨成像。首先,通过非周期函数激励非线性系统,产生不可预测的随机混沌信号(SCS),经频率调制后用作基带子脉冲。同时,将SCS通过映射变换得到跳频编码(FHC),用来决定调频脉冲串的载频步进。RSCFSCS 速度估计包括粗搜索和精搜索,粗搜索采用固定步长,保证速度偏差小于速度分辨单元,而精搜索采用黄金分割搜索算法可得到精确的速度估计。最后,子脉冲经相干合成形成宽带信号,实现高分辨距离成像。数值仿真表明提出的信号模型和处理算法性能良好。